[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 070449
SWODY2
SPC AC 070448

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CDT WED APR 06 2005

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW AQQ 35 SW TOI
35 SSE HSV 20 SW LOZ 25 NNE BKW 35 SW DCA 25 ENE SBY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S EKA 45 S EKA 25
SSW SVE 15 WSW EKO 15 WSW MLD 25 NNW COD 65 N SHR 25 NE REJ 50 ENE
CDR 25 SE FCL 35 SSE 4BL 35 E IGM 20 ENE DAG 40 WNW BFL MRY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN U.S...

SERN U.S. UPPER LOW WILL FILL SLOWLY AS IT SHIFTS EWD ACROSS GA THEN
OFF THE SC COAST LATE IN THE PERIOD.  VERTICAL SHEAR BENEATH THIS
FEATURE WILL GRADUALLY WANE WHILE WLY FLOW DEEPENS ACROSS THE
PENINSULA LESSENING WIND PROFILES FARTHER SOUTH.  LATEST THINKING IS
A SWD-SAGGING BAND OF CONVECTION...PARTIALLY ENHANCED BY VEERED
LLJ...WILL STRETCH ACROSS SOUTH FL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.  THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD PROPAGATE OFFSHORE AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES EWD FORCING
LARGE SCALE LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE INTO THE WRN ATLANTIC.  MUCH OF THE
FL PENINSULA NORTH OF THIS CONVECTION MAY HAVE DIFFICULTY CONVECTING
LATER IN THE DAY...ALTHOUGH HEATING BENEATH THE UPPER LOW ACROSS GA
MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.  WEAK INSTABILITY BENEATH THE UPPER LOW AND
MARGINAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL TO JUST A
FEW STRONG STORMS WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR HAIL.  CONVECTION ACROSS
SOUTH FL EARLY IN THE PERIOD SHOULD BE MORE ORGANIZED BUT STORM
MODE/ORIENTATION SUGGEST A LOW PROBABILITY FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

..DARROW.. 04/07/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.