[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 230729
SWODY2
SPC AC 230724

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CDT THU SEP 23 2004

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW FHU 45 NW SAD
20 SW GUP 20 WSW DRO 15 SE ASE 10 SE DEN 30 NNW LAA 25 SW EHA 35 W
AMA 60 SSE CVS 30 NW MAF 40 WNW SJT 25 W SEP 25 SW DUA 20 ENE FYV 35
S TBN 55 WNW CGI 10 ENE JBR 10 SSE PBF MLU 15 NNE BTR 40 SSE HUM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
A RELATIVELY QUIET CONVECTIVE PATTERN WILL DOMINATE THE LWR 48 ON
FRIDAY.  UPPER TROUGH WHICH WILL CROSS THE UPR MS VLY/WRN GRT LKS
LATER TODAY WILL CONTINUE NE ACROSS ONTARIO/WRN QUEBEC DURING THE
DAY TWO PERIOD.  A SERIES OF WEAKER SHORTWAVE IMPULSES...ORIGINATING
IN BOTH THE CANADIAN WLYS AND IN BAND OF WEAKER WLY FLOW OVER THE
PACIFIC NW...EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN CYCLONIC REGIME OVER THE UPR MS
VLY/UPR GRT LKS.  ELSEWHERE...RIDGING WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ERN
SEABOARD...OVER BAJA CA AND OVER THE PAC NW.

A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL PRECEDE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE LWR GRT
LKS REGION...AND A SECONDARY COLD FRONT/TROUGH WILL CROSS THE UPR MS
VLY.  THE SRN END OF THE LEAD BOUNDARY SHOULD SLOWLY DISSIPATE INVOF
T.S. IVAN REMNANTS OVER SE TX AND THE LWR MS VLY.  OTHERWISE... WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER MOST AREAS.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY FORM WITH AFTERNOON HEATING OVER THE
NM...SW TX AND PERHAPS SRN CO MOUNTAINS...WHERE WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW
WILL PERSIST BENEATH AXIS OF RELATIVELY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
/AROUND MINUS 12 C AT 500 MB/. A FEW STORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP INVOF
IVAN REMNANTS OVER SE TX/LA...ALTHOUGH CLOUDS AND WARM MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES WILL PROBABLY LIMIT COVERAGE.  WEAK SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY SHOULD MITIGATE ANY RISK FOR ORGANIZED/SUSTAINED SEVERE
CONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE CONUS.

..CORFIDI.. 09/23/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.