[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 120709
SWODY2
SPC AC 120705

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CDT SUN SEP 12 2004

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
INL MSP 30 SSE SUX GRI 60 E ANW ATY 60 W RRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW HUM 35 NNW GPT
60 NW CEW BHM BNA 10 NE LEX JKL TYS AND CAE 20 SSE EWN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW TUS GUP DRO RKS
BPI IDA RDM 35 S AST ...CONT... 10 W IWD LSE CNK AMA HOB P07.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NORTHEAST NEB INTO WESTERN
MN...

...NORTHERN PLAINS...
UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ON MONDAY FROM THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  A DEEP SURFACE LOW IS
FORECAST TO BE OVER THE EASTERN DAKOTAS MONDAY MORNING...MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD INTO WESTERN ONTARIO BY EVENING. TRAILING COLD FRONT
WILL SWEEP INTO WESTERN MN/NORTHWEST IA/CENTRAL NEB...PROVIDING THE
FOCUS FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.  STRONG
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS /40-50 KNOTS AT 850MB/ AHEAD OF FRONT WILL
MAINTAIN DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW/MID 60S IN THIS REGION.  STRONG
DAYTIME HEATING AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LEAD TO AN AXIS
OF MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG FROM SOUTHERN NEB INTO WESTERN
MN.  VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ALONG THIS ZONE WILL ALSO BE FAVORABLE
FOR CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS...ESPECIALLY
FROM EASTERN SD INTO WESTERN MN.  LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE INITIAL
THREAT...WITH A POTENTIAL EVOLUTION INTO A SQUALL LINE MONDAY
EVENING WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS.

..HART.. 09/12/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.