[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 110717
SWODY2
SPC AC 110713

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 AM CDT SAT SEP 11 2004

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW TUS EED P38
EKO WMC 4LW RDM 45 S EPH 85 NW FCA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NE DVL ABR DGW FCL
COS RTN 4CR CNM SJT HDO 15 SSE LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE HUL ALB BFD
CLE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE BPT SHV LIT
BNA HKY 10 NE ILM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MT/ND...
A STRONG TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON SUNDAY...PROMOTING SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS OVER
EASTERN MT/WESTERN DAKOTAS AND A STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  ETA/GFS GUIDANCE AGREE THAT STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR PROFILES AND SUBSTANTIAL UPPER FORCING WILL SPREAD INTO MT/ND
BY EVENING.  HOWEVER...LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP CAPE
VALUES BELOW 1000 J/KG.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT AND NEAR SURFACE LOW SUNDAY NIGHT.  POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
A FEW STORMS CAPABLE OF GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS OVER THIS REGION. 
HOWEVER...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS APPEAR UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME.

...FL...
HURRICANE IVAN IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT.
OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM MAY AFFECT FAR SOUTH FL AND
THE KEYS OVERNIGHT...WITH A LOW RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..HART.. 09/11/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.