[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 071714
SWODY2
SPC AC 071710

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2004

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S
CRE 30 ENE CLT 20 N LYH 10 WSW ILG 15 SE ACY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW SUX 25 NNE ANW
65 N PHP 25 WSW BIS 50 SSW GFK 20 SE AXN FRM 20 WNW SUX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE TLH 35 E MCN
15 NNW AHN 10 NE CHA 55 E BWG 40 ENE SDF 30 N DAY 40 NNE ERI 20 SE
ART 25 NE 3B1 20 S HUL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE ERN CAROLINAS TO THE
DELMARVA REGION...

...SYNOPSIS...
CENTER OF WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES WILL TRACK SLOWLY
NNE ALONG THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANS FROM GA TO WV ON WEDNESDAY.
THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO PHASE WITH A WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING
FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE ERN GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY LATE IN THE
PERIOD...EVENTUALLY BECOMING ABSORBED BY THE WLYS. ELSEWHERE...ZONAL
FLOW WILL EXIST ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...AND A LARGE RIDGE WILL REMAIN
ANCHORED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN.

...CAROLINAS/MID ATLANTIC...
A BELT OF 40-50KT LOW THROUGH MID LEVEL FLOW WILL SPREAD NEWD FROM
THE SOUTHEAST TO THE DELMARVA REGION TOMORROW WITHIN THE LARGE ERN
SEMICIRCLE OF T.D. FRANCES. STRONG UPSLOPE FLOW OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS/VIRGINIA WHILE
SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD PERSIST WITHIN CONFLUENCE BANDS ROTATING
ENEWD ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS. WHILE OVERALL FLOW FIELD MAY BE A
LITTLE WEAKER THAN TODAY GIVEN THE SLOW DEMISE OF FRANCES...FCST
WIND PROFILES EXHIBIT STRONG DIRECTIONAL AND MODEST SPEED SHEAR IN
THE LOWEST 1-2KM.  ADDITIONALLY...STEADY SUPPLY OF DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT HIGH BOUNDARY LAYER RH AND A LOW LCL ACROSS
THE REGION WHICH WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL
STORM ROTATION TO REACH THE SURFACE. THUS...ISOLD TO WIDELY
SCATTERED TORNADOES EMBEDDED WITHIN RAIN/TSTM BANDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM NERN SC TO THE DELMARVA AREA FROM EARLY IN THE DAY THROUGH
EVENING.

..CARBIN.. 09/07/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.