[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 061726
SWODY2
SPC AC 061722

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1222 PM CDT MON SEP 06 2004

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE
CAE 45 W CHS 45 WSW SAV 45 NNE MGR 45 SSW CSG 15 SSW ANB 35 NW RMG
55 E CHA 25 SSW AVL 10 WSW CLT 40 NE CAE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E MSS 30 NNW GFL
30 NE PSF 20 SSE BOS ...CONT... 45 NW LRD 50 SSE AUS 40 SSE GGG PBF
PAH 20 NE IND 25 NNW DTW 110 E APN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW GPT 25 W LUL 45
NNE JAN 35 SSE GLH 30 NW HEZ 20 SSE BPT.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EXTREME ERN AL THROUGH
CNTRL AND NRN GA AND WRN THROUGH CNTRL SC...

...ERN AL THROUGH GA AND SC...

TROPICAL STORM FRANCES CONTINUES MOVING NWWD...BUT IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY TURN TO A MORE NLY DIRECTION LATER TODAY INTO TUESDAY. SEE
THE LATEST DISCUSSIONS FROM NHC FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. FRANCES
WILL WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT MAKES LANDFALL...BUT CONSIDERABLE LOW
LEVEL SHEAR WILL PERSIST WITH THE STORM THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE
CENTER MOVES NWD ALONG THE GA/AL BORDER. STRONGEST CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST E OF THE CENTER...AND ELY LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORIES
N AND E OF THE CENTER WILL MAINTAIN AN INFLUX OF HIGH THETA-E/LOW
LCL AIR INTO ERN AL THROUGH GA AND SC. POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION
WILL EXIST DURING THE DAY...ESPECIALLY WHERE ANY BREAKS IN CLOUDS
BETWEEN CONVECTIVE BANDS CAN OCCUR. HOWEVER...POOR LAPSE RATES WILL
LIMIT MLCAPE TO GENERALLY AOB 1000 J/KG. ISOLATED TORNADOES
ASSOCIATED WITH LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN CONVECTIVE
RAINBANDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...BUT ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.

..DIAL.. 09/06/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.