[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 031727
SWODY2
SPC AC 031724

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 PM CDT FRI SEP 03 2004

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW
MIA 10 NNE FMY 20 NE SRQ 40 SSE CTY 45 ESE VLD 30 E AYS 35 S SAV.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW DRT 25 S UMN 10
NNE ALN 25 NNE BMI RFD 20 N DBQ 30 SSW ALO 25 SSW CNK 30 ESE LBL 25
SSE CVS 50 SE ELP ...CONT... YUM 60 NW GBN 50 SW GCN 25 ENE SGU 45
WNW MLF 15 SE ENV 25 NW MLD 20 WSW JAC 35 SSE COD 50 SW GCC 60 NW
CDR 20 WSW PHP 35 SSW JMS 55 W RRT ...CONT... 45 NW ROC 40 SSW SLK
15 SSW PWM ...CONT... 20 NE NEL 30 NNW ILG 10 S CRW 55 NW CHA 10 E
MEI 25 NNE BVE ...CONT... 15 ENE AQQ 35 NNE ABY 45 NNW AGS 20 NNE
RDU 35 SSW WAL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF FL...

...FL...
HURRICANE FRANCES IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE NWRN BAHAMA ISLANDS.
THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NWWD APPROACHING THE FL COAST
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD INLAND BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND ISOLATED
MINI-SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE
BANDS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW SLIGHTLY VEERED PROFILES JUST AHEAD
OF THE HURRICANE IN THE COASTAL AREAS WITH STRONG 0-1 KM SHEAR
VALUES. THE SHEAR SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW TORNADOES ESPECIALLY WITH
ROTATING STORMS THAT MOVE ONSHORE. THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL SOMETIME ON SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A DRAMATIC INCREASE IN THE
TORNADO THREAT EXPECTED JUST AFTER LANDFALL IN THE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM.

...UPPER MS AND UPPER MO VALLEYS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS TONIGHT REACHING
MN AND ERN NEB ON SATURDAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE A FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE INITIATION AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES AHEAD OF A WRN
US UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. AS INSTABILITY INCREASES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP AND MOVE SEWD
ACROSS MN...ERN SD. A CAPPING INVERSION MAY WEAKEN ENOUGH ACROSS ERN
NEB AND NW IA FOR ISOLATED STORMS. SFC DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE 60S
F AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALLOWING ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP FOR
STRONG UPDRAFTS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL
BE PRESENT ALOFT AND THIS MAY PRODUCE ENOUGH SHEAR FOR MARGINALLY
SEVERE STORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS WITH SEVERE POTENTIAL
SHOULD DIE QUICKLY EARLY SATURDAY EVENING AS INSTABILITY DECREASES
ACROSS THE REGION.

..BROYLES.. 09/03/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.