[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 020726
SWODY2
SPC AC 020723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 AM CDT THU SEP 02 2004

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 S GBN 20 E PRC 15
W GCN 10 SSW SGU ENV BYI 10 NNW SUN S80 70 ENE 63S ...CONT... 10 SE
INL GFK MHE BUB SNY 10 WSW DEN 25 SSE ELP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE DRT ACT TXK 10
ENE UNO 10 S UIN MLI MKG 35 SE OSC ...CONT... 45 NNW YNG JKL ATL MCN
AGS GSO 10 E CHO 10 ENE BWI 35 ESE DOV.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM EPM BML MSS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DAKOTAS...
STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE NRN
ROCKIES ON FRIDAY AS HIGH AMPLITUDE FLOW PATTERN PERSISTS OVER THE
WEST.  SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING FROM ERN ND SSWWD ACROSS CENTRAL
SD...NEB PANHANDLE AND SWWD INTO CO AND SRN UT WILL BE ORIENTED
LARGELY PARALLEL TO THE DEEP LAYER SWLY FLOW ALOFT AND SHOULD MOVE 
LITTLE DURING THE DAY...WITH SMALL EWD PROGRESSION FORECAST DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  DEEP WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER IS FORECAST
AGAIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATING LAYER OF
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AROUND 700 MB LIKELY LIMITING STORMS IN THE
SURFACE WARM SECTOR.  PRIMARY CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG AND WEST OF SURFACE FRONT WHERE DYNAMIC FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH UPPER TROUGH WILL ENHANCE LARGE SCALE ASCENT.  ALTHOUGH DEEP
LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR STORM ORGANIZATION
IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS...INSTABILITY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
ELEVATED SUGGESTING ONLY LIMITED THREAT FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORMS.

...ERN FL...
LATEST NHC GUIDANCE INDICATES HURRICANE FRANCES WILL CONTINUE WNWWD
TOWARD FL ON DAY 2...WITH THE CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINING OFF THE
EAST COAST THROUGH 04/12Z.  BASED ON THIS PROJECTION...THERE IS A
SMALL CHANCE THE OUTER BANDS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT ERN PARTS OF THE
PENINSULA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.  HOWEVER...GREATER THREAT FOR TORNADOES
WILL LIKELY OCCUR AFTER THIS PERIOD.

..WEISS.. 09/02/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.