[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 290728
SWODY2
SPC AC 290727

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 AM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW HVR 50 NNE 3DU
50 WSW MSO 25 N ALW 50 W YKM 30 NW AST.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 WNW MRF 10 SSE GDP
15 NW HOB 50 WSW LBB 35 SW CDS 30 WNW ADM 55 NE LIT 35 NW HOP 15 WSW
BMG 10 ESE SBN 35 WSW MBL 70 ENE MQT ...CONT... 35 S ACY 10 NE GSO
30 NNW AHN 30 SSE MEI 20 SE 7R4.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP MID LEVEL TROUGH...NOW OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WILL EJECT
ENEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND MID/UPPER MS VALLEY THROUGH
TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE ENEWD OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY BY TOMORROW NIGHT.  AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP
ENEWD IN ADVANCE OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH...FROM UPPER MI TOWARD SRN
QUEBEC.  FARTHER W...A BROAD NRN STREAM TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO AMPLIFY
OVER THE NRN ROCKIES...WHILE A SEPARATE SRN STREAM WAVE APPROACHES
THE BIG BEND AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD.  THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM
THREAT AREAS WILL BE IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE LOW/COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE ERN GREAT LAKES AREA DURING THE DAY...AND ACROSS CENTRAL/N TX
LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH A DEVELOPING WAA PATTERN.

...ERN GREAT LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY REGION...
BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S SHOULD SPREAD NEWD ACROSS THE OH
VALLEY/PA/NY IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT...WHILE STRONG
WIND FIELDS AND ASSOCIATED VERTICAL SPEED SHEAR ALSO ACCOMPANY THE
WARM SECTOR.  HOWEVER...POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL TEND TO
LIMIT WARM SECTOR INSTABILITY. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS...BUT THE OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT MAY TEND TO BE LIMITED BY WEAK INSTABILITY.

..THOMPSON.. 10/29/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.