[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 271732
SWODY2
SPC AC 271731

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 PM CDT WED OCT 27 2004

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 E ANJ 30 NNW MTC
20 NE CMH 15 ESE CRW 40 NE HKY CAE 25 NE SSI 30 SSE JAX 50 SSE CTY
...CONT... 30 ESE GPT 10 SW LUL 30 SSW GWO 40 E LIT 60 N HOT 25 WSW
PGO 35 NNW TYR 50 NE CLL 15 WSW GLS ...CONT... 50 S CRP 10 NW SAT 35
SE JCT 40 SW JCT DRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW PUB RTN 20 SSE
LVS TCC 30 SSW EHA 55 NE GCK 20 NW GRI 60 NW OFK 45 NE ANW 30 W VTN
10 NNW AIA 30 ESE CYS 30 SSE DEN 15 SW PUB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE YUM 50 W GCN 15
ESE ELY 15 SW WMC 85 NNW WMC 55 E BNO 40 W 27U 20 WSW BZN 35 WNW SHR
25 WSW 4BQ 50 NE 4BQ 55 N ISN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN PLAINS...

EXIT REGION OF UPPER SPEED MAX WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE CNTRL ROCKIES
INTO THE NRN PLAINS LATE IN THE DAY2 PERIOD.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE WILL AID SFC CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS REGION JUST SOUTH OF THE BLACK HILLS.  LOW CENTER WILL
THEN MOVE NEWD ALONG TIGHTENING BAROCLINIC ZONE TOWARD SERN SD AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

IN ADVANCE OF UPPER SPEED MAX...INCREASING LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY WILL UNDOUBTEDLY AID ELEVATED CONVECTION
ACROSS MUCH OF MN INTO WRN WI. A FEW STORMS ACROSS THIS REGION MAY
GENERATE SOME HAIL...OR PERHAPS STRONG WINDS WITH NEAR SFC-BASED
CONVECTION ALONG RETREATING WARM FRONT.

...SRN/CNTRL PLAINS...

HIGH PLAINS CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE NEB PANHANDLE WILL ENHANCE LEE
TROUGHING ACROSS WRN KS INTO THE TX PANHANDLE IN ADVANCE OF UPPER
TROUGH.  THIS SHOULD AID BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING FROM ERN NM INTO
SWRN KS BY LATE AFTERNOON.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL BE MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.  ONE
ARGUMENT AGAINST A SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THIS REGION IS THE LACK OF
SIGNIFICANT FORCING/CONVERGENCE ALONG THE LEE TROUGH.  IT APPEARS
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL REMAIN ISOLATED AND POSSIBLY
SHORT-LIVED...ALTHOUGH A FEW MAY PRODUCE HAIL OR STRONG WINDS.

..DARROW.. 10/27/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.