[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 190651
SWODY2
SPC AC 190650

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0150 AM CDT TUE OCT 19 2004

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM YKM EPH FCA 10 SE BIL
CPR ASE 70 SE PGA GBN YUM NID FAT SAC 4LW BNO YKM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM BUF 10 SSE AOO LYH 25
ESE OAJ ...CONT... 10 SSE PNS GWO JBR STL SPI BEH MTC.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

STRONG UPPER TROUGH NOW APPROACHING THE PACIFIC COAST WILL DEEPEN
OVER THE WESTERN STATES ON WEDNESDAY.  MEANWHILE...UPPER RIDGING
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE MS/OH/TN VALLEY REGION...WHERE MOIST/UNSTABLE
AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO BE PRESENT.  RATHER STRONG DAYTIME HEATING IS
LIKELY ON DAY2 FROM OK EASTWARD INTO OH/KY...RESULTING IN AFTERNOON
MLCAPE VALUES OVER 1000 J/KG.  HOWEVER...WEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS AND
UPPER RIDING SHOULD PROVIDE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF FORCING MECHANISMS
FOR DEEP CONVECTION.  FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MODERATELY
STEEP LAPSE RATES APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR A CONDITIONAL THREAT OF
HAIL/WIND IN THE OH/TN VALLEYS.  CONFIDENCE IN ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS LOW...SO WILL ONLY OUTLOOK LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

..HART.. 10/19/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.