[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 160728
SWODY2
SPC AC 160727

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 AM CDT SAT OCT 16 2004

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM ALS PGA DRA MER RBL
ONP OLM 4OM FCA LWT 4BQ 10 NW CDR AKO ALS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM DSM MMO HTS HKY AND
HSV 55 SW JBR SGF FNB DSM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MID MS AND LOWER OH VALLEY...
FAST WESTERLY FLOW REGIME WILL BE PRESENT OVER MUCH OF THE NATION ON
SUNDAY...WITH SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS RACING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
U.S.  RATHER DEEP SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER KS WITH WARM
FRONT LIFTING NORTHWARD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BY 18/12Z.  STRONG
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL TRANSPORT
GULF MOISTURE NORTHWARD WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S AS FAR NORTH AS
MO/IL BY MONDAY MORNING.  MID LEVEL CAPPING SHOULD SUPPRESS DEEP
CONVECTION FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD OVER THE WARM SECTOR. 
HOWEVER...INCREASING LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
WARM FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT IS EXPECTED TO AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM MO INTO IND/KY/TN.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOW RATHER STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
FOR THE THREAT OF ROTATING STORMS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.  PORTIONS
OF THIS AREA MAY REQUIRE UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK IN LATER OUTLOOKS IF
GREATER DESTABILIZATION APPEARS LIKELY.

..HART.. 10/16/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.