[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 110723
SWODY2
SPC AC 110722

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 AM CDT MON OCT 11 2004

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE DUG 40 WNW SAD
55 SW PRC 60 ESE DAG LGB ...CONT... 25 NNW SMX 55 WNW DRA 10 ENE MLF
GJT 40 SSW PUB 40 WNW TCC 30 S ROW 70 SSW GDP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W PFN 25 S SEM 55
SW MEM 20 WSW POF 15 SSW EVV 35 SSE LOZ 30 E CAE 15 SSE CRE.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE PROGRESSIVE TUESDAY AS STRONG NRN
STREAM SYSTEM AMPLIFIES ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA AND THE NRN PLAINS. 
THIS WILL FINALLY SHIFT PERSISTENT UPPER LOW EWD AWAY FROM THE
PLAINS STATES AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST...WITH SWRN U.S. LOW CENTER
RETROGRADING WWD TO OFF THE CA COAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

...SOUTHEAST...
WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE SOUTHEAST AS SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL JET OVERSPREAD THE LOWER/MID MS
RIVER VALLEY.  HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
LARGE INVERSION LAYER BETWEEN ROUGHLY 800 AND 650 MB ACROSS THE
REGION.  THIS WILL GREATLY LIMIT BOTH AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AND
OVERALL CONVECTIVE THREAT...DESPITE PRESENCE OF RELATIVELY MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS.  THOUGH INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL
LIKELY SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...OVERALL SEVERE THREAT
APPEARS RATHER LIMITED ATTM.

...SRN ROCKIES INTO SRN CA...
APPEARS POCKET OF RELATIVELY COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THIS REGION AS UPPER LOW SHIFTS STEADILY WWD.  GIVEN
AFTERNOON HEATING...LAPSE RATES AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE APPEAR
SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN.

..EVANS.. 10/11/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.