[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 090712
SWODY2
SPC AC 090712

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 AM CDT SAT OCT 09 2004

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW GLS 40 SSW LFK
25 N ACT 60 NE BGS 25 SE AMA 35 WNW GAG 20 S ICT 10 ENE SGF 20 SE
POF 45 SE MKL 10 WNW LGC 45 WNW SAV 30 SE CHS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE DUG 45 WNW SAD
45 S FLG 35 ESE IGM 50 WNW EED 55 S TPH 60 ESE U31 15 ESE SLC 15 ESE
CAG 10 W COS 50 WSW TCC 55 SE ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL GULF COAST AND LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...
T.S. MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE A SLOW NEWD MOTION AND UNDERGO
LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY BEFORE TURNING MORE NWD LATER SUNDAY INTO
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION /REF LATEST GUIDANCE FROM NHC FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION/.  APPEARS ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD OVER THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY
AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AS THIS SYSTEM NEARS THE COAST AND MOVES
INLAND.  MODERATE TO STRONG SHEAR IN THE LOWEST FEW KILOMETERS WILL
THEREFORE SUPPORT AT LEAST A LOW PROBABILITY THREAT OF AN ISOLATED
TORNADO.

...GREAT BASIN...
STRONG ENERGY WILL CONTINUE DIGGING SEWD TOWARDS THE SWRN STATES
SUNDAY...AND EVOLVE INTO AN UPPER LOW OVER SRN NV BY THE LATE
AFTERNOON. APPEARS MODEST HEATING WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM
AND SUPPORT STEEP LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN AND THE
4-CORNERS...AS MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES OF -16C TO -18C OVERSPREAD THE
REGION.  MID LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON CONVECTION FROM PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN
INTO THE 4-CORNERS REGION/SRN ROCKIES...WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGESTING STRONGER CELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..EVANS.. 10/09/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.