[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 070627
SWODY2
SPC AC 070626

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 AM CDT THU OCT 07 2004

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW P07 55 S BGS 65
NNW ABI 10 W FSI 40 ENE OKC 10 ENE MKC 45 NW DBQ 30 N MSN 35 S MKE
55 ESE MMO 25 W MVN 25 N POF 30 WNW ARG 60 N LIT PBF 30 SW GWO 45
WSW SEM 35 WSW DHN 20 ESE PFN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE BLI 25 E SEA
35 WNW DLS 40 ENE EUG 25 N 4BK.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A RATHER BROAD WEAK TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER SRN PLAINS AS A VIGOROUS
SYSTEM MOVES ONSHORE PAC NW FRI NIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT OVER NWRN GULF OF MEXICO AS TROPICAL AIR
MASS MOVES NWD FROM WRN GULF ACROSS ERN TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

WHILE MODELS ALL KEEP SURFACE LOW CENTER OFFSHORE ERN TX/LA COAST
THRU THE PERIOD...LOW LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE INCREASING AS
850MB WINDS OF 30-35KT DEVELOP INLAND SERN TX/SWRN LA BY EVENING.

WITH A TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT AND POTENTIALLY SFC-1KM SHEAR OF 20-25
KT...WILL CONTINUE A LOW PROBABILITY OF SEVERE NEAR THE SERN TX/LA
COAST...PARTICULARLY LATER PORTION OF THE PERIOD WHEN SURFACE LOW
WILL BE CLOSEST TO THE COAST. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS WITH BRIEF TORNADOES.  RISK IS VERY CONDITIONAL AND
DEPENDENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE PROGGED SURFACE LOW.

..HALES.. 10/07/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.