[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Oct 5 06:29:56 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 050629
SWODY2
SPC AC 050628

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 AM CDT TUE OCT 05 2004

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W ELP 60 S GNT 40
W FMN 40 NNE CEZ ASE 45 ENE FCL 30 SSE FSD 30 NE RST 40 NW CGX 35 NW
SPI 15 WNW COU 40 NNE JLN 30 NNW FSM 20 W TXK 25 E POE 30 SE HUM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

TROUGH OVER SRN ROCKIES SHIFTS SLOWLY EWD INTO HIGH PLAINS BY END OF
FORECAST PERIOD. LARGE SURFACE HIGH ERN U.S. WILL MAINTAIN A SLY
FLOW OF GULF MOISTURE FROM SRN PLAINS NEWD TO MS RIVER VALLEY. 
INSTABILITY  WILL BE GREATEST UNDER COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH
TROUGH ERN NM INTO SWRN TX WITH REDUCED INSTABILITY FURTHER E WHERE
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND WEAKER LAPSE RATES WILL PREVAIL.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON BY AFTERNOON FROM THE TROUGH AXIS EWD
INTO CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS GIVEN THE INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ADVECTING NWD ON THE 25-35 KT LOW LEVEL JET.

THERE WILL LIKELY BE A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOST ANYWHERE FROM
THE TROUGH AXIS EWD INTO WRN OK/TX.  HOWEVER LACK OF COVERAGE AND
SOME QUESTION ON THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER SUPPORT PRECLUDES
OUTLOOKING A RISK AREA ATTM.

..HALES.. 10/05/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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