[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 241704
SWODY2
SPC AC 241702

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 AM CST WED NOV 24 2004

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE
ACY TTN 20 S POU 20 E BDL 10 ENE BOS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW PIE 40 NNW DAB
...CONT... 10 E ILM 25 WSW WAL 30 WNW DOV 25 E HGR 10 WNW AOO BFD 55
NNE ROC.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SERN NEW ENGLAND...

...NORTHEAST...
EXTENSIVE SQUALL LINE AHEAD OF STRONG LARGE SCALE TROUGH SHOULD BE
ONGOING FROM CENTRAL FL NWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.  STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT ALONG WITH ENHANCED LOW
AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL LIFT NNEWD ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN STATES
THROUGH THE DAY...AS 90+ KT SWLY H5 JET SHIFTS ACROSS SERN NEW
ENGLAND.  IN RESPONSE TO THIS...SLY SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN QUITE
STRONG AND ALLOW DEW POINTS TO INCREASE INTO THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S
AHEAD OF SQUALL LINE...BEFORE IT MOVES OFFSHORE DURING THE
AFTERNOON. PRIMARY NEGATIVES FOR SEVERE APPEAR TO BE MARGINAL CAPE
AND STRONG WARMING JUST ABOVE SHALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER WHICH MAY KEEP
UPDRAFTS ROOTED ABOVE THIS LEVEL.  HOWEVER BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS
WILL CONTINUING SUPPORTING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO SHOULD STORMS PUSH THEIR
DOWNDRAFTS THROUGH THIS SHALLOW STABLE LAYER.

...FL...
FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS FL...SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT
SHIFTS SWD INTO SRN FL THROUGH THE EARLY/MID AFTERNOON...GIVEN
LIMITED CONVERGENCE AND DIMINISHING LARGE SCALE ASCENT.  THUS...ANY
RESIDUAL SEVERE THREAT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THURSDAY MORNING.

..EVANS.. 11/24/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.