[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Wed Nov 24 06:14:08 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 240612
SWODY2
SPC AC 240611

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1211 AM CST WED NOV 24 2004

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW PIE 40 NNW
DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E ILM 25 WSW WAL
30 WNW DOV 25 E HGR 10 WNW AOO BFD 55 NNE ROC.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NEW ENGLAND...

INTENSE 12HR 500MB HEIGHT FALLS...ON THE ORDER OF 180M...WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE NERN U.S. AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD. RESULTANT LARGE SCALE ASCENT ALONG
WITH DEEPENING SFC LOW SHOULD LIFT QUICKLY NEWD ACROSS UPSTATE NY
INTO SERN QUEBEC...ALLOWING TRAILING COLD FRONT TO SWEEP ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF NEW ENGLAND BY 06Z.  IT APPEARS STRENGTH OF UPPER
SYSTEM WILL ENHANCE DEEP CONVECTIVE THREAT AHEAD OF SFC
BOUNDARY...BUT THIS ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP WITHIN MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT...AND LIKELY BE ELEVATED IN NATURE.  FORECAST
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES DO NOT SUPPORT A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AND PROBABILITIES WILL REMAIN BELOW 5 PERCENT AT THIS
TIME.

..DARROW.. 11/24/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








More information about the SwoDy2 mailing list