[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 200459
SWODY2
SPC AC 200458

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1058 PM CST FRI NOV 19 2004

VALID 211200Z - 221200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW GBN 35 ENE YUM
35 NNE BLH 60 W GCN 40 NW U17 15 WSW CNY 10 ESE GJT 10 NNE GUC 10
SSE ALS 50 SSE SAF 60 E 4CR 30 S CVS 15 N PVW 10 W CDS 20 NNW SPS 35
SW DUA 45 NNE TYR 30 SE ELD 30 ENE GWO 20 NNE GAD 30 NW AHN 40 NNW
AGS 45 SSW AGS 25 NNE ABY 15 SW DHN 15 E GPT 25 S HUM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTH TX/LA COAST...

LATEST MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE TO SLOW EWD PROGRESSION OF DIGGING
UPPER LOW ACROSS THE SWRN U.S. SATURDAY.  ALTHOUGH THIS FEATURE WILL
NOT AFFECT SOUTH TX/LA UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK...PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL
WARM ADVECTION WILL LIKELY BE RESPONSIBLE FOR EPISODIC DEEP
CONVECTIVE EVENTS ALONG NWD DRIFTING COASTAL FRONT.  THE MAIN
IMPEDIMENT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THIS ZONE IS
THE EXPECTED WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE BOUNDARY.  IN
ADDITION...CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AND PRECIPITATION WILL
UNDOUBTEDLY LIMIT OVERALL DESTABILIZATION WITH RESULTANT MARGINAL
LAPSE RATES NOT PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE FOR A LOT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. EVEN SO...IT APPEARS SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS...AND WITH A SLOW MOISTENING
BOUNDARY LAYER THERE WILL BE AT LEAST LOW PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

..DARROW.. 11/20/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.