[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Thu Nov 11 17:06:00 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 111703
SWODY2
SPC AC 111702

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 AM CST THU NOV 11 2004

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E MOB 25 SSW TCL
10 NNE MSL 35 WSW BNA 35 ENE BWG 10 E UNI 20 NE PKB 40 NW EKN 45 SW
EKN 10 SE SSU 20 W LYH 35 W RIC 15 S WAL ...CONT... 30 N DAB 55 N
PIE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 WNW TCS 30 NNE PHX
25 SW IGM LAS 60 W P38 55 N ELY 25 NNW ENV 45 SSW MLD 15 W EVW 25 NW
GUC 40 NE SAF 40 SE ABQ 85 WNW TCS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S AST EUG 25 S MFR
30 NNW RBL 60 N SAC 35 ESE SAC 25 S SCK 25 SW SJC.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A CLOSED OFF LOW AT 500 MB
LOCATED OVER SW MO. THIS FEATURE WILL OPEN...MOVING EWD AND
DAMPENING ACROSS THE APPALACHIAN MTNS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A BAND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ACROSS GA AND WRN SC
EARLY IN THE PERIOD DUE TO STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH. AS INSTABILITY INCREASES DURING THE DAY...CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE SHOULD EXPAND AS THE STORMS MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS.
HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL LAPSE RATES AND
RELATIVELY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THE
SEVERE POTENTIAL. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EWD THURSDAY AFTERNOON...A
LINE OF STORMS SHOULD ORGANIZE ACROSS ERN SC AND CNTRL NC BY 21Z
MOVING ACROSS ERN NC DURING THE EVENING HOURS AND OFFSHORE AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 11/11/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








More information about the SwoDy2 mailing list