[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 030830
SWODY2
SPC AC 030829

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CST WED NOV 03 2004

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE JAX 40 S CTY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE SFO 50 NNE SAC
35 WSW LOL 20 WNW U31 30 ENE TPH 25 NNE EDW 15 SW LAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW PNS 25 SSW ANB
CSV 15 S LEX 45 WSW LUK 20 ESE IND 50 W FWA 45 N FWA 25 SSW ERI 30 S
IPT 20 S ACY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANTS OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH NOW OVER TX/OK WILL EJECT ENEWD
AND LOSE AMPLITUDE TOMORROW IN RESPONSE TO A STRONG NRN STREAM WAVE
THAT IS FORECAST TO DIG SEWD OVER THE GREAT LAKES.  AT THE
SURFACE...A LOW WILL LIKELY MOVE NEWD TO THE W OF THE APPALACHIANS
TOMORROW...WITH SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS EXPECTED NEAR THE SE NEW
ENGLAND COAST TOMORROW NIGHT AS THE EJECTING SRN STREAM WAVE PHASES
WITH THE DIGGING GREAT LAKES TROUGH.  THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE THE SURFACE LOW AND TRAILING COLD
FRONT. OTHERWISE...A SEPARATE CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW WILL FORM INVOF
NRN/CENTRAL CA LATER TODAY...AND THEN DRIFT SWWD OVER CA TOMORROW
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE MID LEVEL COLD POOL.

THOUGH INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN QUITE WEAK W OF THE
APPALACHIANS...THERE IS SOME POSSIBILITY FOR GREATER DESTABILIZATION
E OF THE MOUNTAINS ACROSS THE CAROLINAS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  IF
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP...WIND PROFILES SHOULD BE
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND/OR
BOW ECHOES.  GIVEN THE SUBSTANTIAL UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE DEGREE
OF INSTABILITY...WILL ONLY OUTLOOK LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS
TIME.

..THOMPSON.. 11/03/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.