[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Nov 2 08:36:38 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 020835
SWODY2
SPC AC 020834

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0234 AM CST TUE NOV 02 2004

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE LCH 20 NW MLU
40 SSW PBF 50 N HOT 40 SW JEF 35 ENE MMO 10 NNE TOL 15 NNW CAK 20
SSW HLG BLF 20 NNW GSO 30 W GSB 25 W ILM 35 SW CRE 40 WNW CHS 25 SW
AHN 25 ENE LGC 30 W PFN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE MID LEVEL TROUGH NOW OVER W TX WILL EJECT NEWD TOMORROW TOWARD
THE LOWER OH VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO ANOTHER TROUGH DIGGING SEWD
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN.  AT THE SURFACE...A LOW IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP NNEWD IN ADVANCE OF THIS TROUGH...FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY
TO THE OH VALLEY.  THOUGH THE STRONGER JET CORE WILL LIKELY REMAIN W
OF THE WARM SECTOR...DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT
FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS IN A BAND NEAR THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS
THE SE LA/MS/AL/WRN TN AREA.  A POTENTIAL LIMITING
FACTOR...HOWEVER...WILL BE POOR LAPSE RATES AND RELATIVELY WEAK
INSTABILITY IN THE WARM SECTOR.  ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO
BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH STORMS IN A BAND NEAR THE FRONT...BUT THE
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS TOO MARGINAL TO JUSTIFY A CATEGORICAL
OUTLOOK AREA AT THIS TIME.

..THOMPSON.. 11/02/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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