[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 160741
SWODY2
SPC AC 160740

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 AM CDT WED JUN 16 2004

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E
SBY CHO JKL MDH BLV PIA MKG 70 SE OSC ...CONT... ART RUT PSM.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CDS
AMA RTN COS FCL CYS SNY 50 E GLD DDC END 40 SE OKC SPS CDS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM EFK 30 ENE PWM
...CONT... 40 WNW INL FAR 10 NE RAP CDR 25 SE MHN 20 SSE SUX MCW RHI
25 E MQT ...CONT... 15 ENE GPT JAN TXK SEP 35 NW DRT ...CONT... 60
SE ELP CNM CVS SAF GUP GCN TPH 50 SSW TVL RBL MHS 4LW PDT MSO GTF 75
NE BIL 65 NNW ISN.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MID MS VALLEY INTO
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

...OH VALLEY INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER TX/OK IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHWARD AND
BECOME EMBEDDED IN STRONGER WESTERLIES ON THURSDAY.  BAND OF
STRONGER LOW/MID LEVEL WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL
SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND INTO NY/PA/SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.  WIDESPREAD MOIST/UNSTABLE
AIRMASS IS LIKELY TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S AND MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000 J/KG. 
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER IND/OH/KY BY
EARLY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING
THE EVENING.  DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER CELLS. 
OTHER ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING
ALONG THE SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM LOWER MI INTO IL.

...CENTRAL PLAINS...
UPPER LOW OVER WESTERN AZ IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.  THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS
EASTERN CO...WESTERN KS...AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES.  BACKED SURFACE
WINDS NORTH OF SURFACE QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL TRANSPORT
MOISTURE WESTWARD INTO EASTERN CO/NM...WHERE INITIAL CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED.  SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL EXIST FOR
THE THREAT OF SUPERCELLS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES.  STORMS WILL LIKELY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO PARTS
OF WESTERN KS/OK DURING THE EVENING.  

OTHER ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE DOWN THE DRYLINE
IN WEST TX ON THURSDAY.  HOWEVER...WILL ONLY OUTLOOK LOW
PROBABILITIES IN THIS AREA DUE TO WEAKER MID LEVEL WINDS AND MINIMAL
UPPER FORCING.

..HART.. 06/16/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.