[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 150702
SWODY2
SPC AC 150700

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0200 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CLE
FDY MMO IRK CNU 35 SE PNC CSM AMA RTN PUB 35 NW GLD OLU LSE 10 NE
PLN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW SYR 30 S BGM 20
SW JFK ...CONT... 30 SSE VCT 25 WNW TYR 30 NE ADM 45 SSW LTS 45 NE
CVS ABQ PRC LAS BIH 35 ENE SAC RNO ENV BPI RWL FCL AKO MHN YKN RST
MQT.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...UPPER MS VALLEY...AND GREAT LAKES REGION...

MAIN BAND OF UPPER FLOW WILL ONCE AGAIN EXTEND ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES REGION ON WEDNESDAY...WHILE UPPER LOW
CURRENTLY OVER EAST TX BECOMES EMBEDDED IN WESTERLY FLOW AND IS
EJECTED NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE OH VALLEY.  RELATIVELY STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE MAINTAINED ALONG AN AXIS FROM THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS INTO LOWER MI...WHERE STRONG DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT
IN AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000 J/KG.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY ALONG SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM NORTHEAST KS
INTO CENTRAL WI...SPREADING EASTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. 
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL APPEAR POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. 
OTHER SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME OVER
SOUTHEAST CO/NORTHEAST NM.  THESE STORMS MAY PROPAGATE EASTWARD INTO
A MUCH MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER TX/KS/OK DURING THE EVENING...WITH
A SUSTAINED SEVERE THREAT.

...MID MS VALLEY INTO IND/OH...
DEEP/MOIST SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OVER THE LOWER/MID MS AND TN
VALLEYS WILL RESULT IN WEAK LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL-MODERATE
INSTABILITY.  BAND OF STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL LIKELY EXTEND
FROM EASTERN AR/WESTERN TN INTO IND/OH ON DAY2.  COMBINATION OF
DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S AND POCKETS OF DAYTIME HEATING INDICATE SOME
POTENTIAL FOR DOWNBURST WINDS OR PERHAPS A TORNADO ALONG THIS AXIS.

..HART.. 06/15/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.