[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 070707
SWODY2
SPC AC 070705

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2004

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE
APN 15 SSE MTW 15 NE DBQ 35 NW DSM BUB 20 WNW MCK 40 SSW IML 50 ENE
FCL 45 WNW BFF 45 SSW RAP 30 SSW ATY 30 ENE STC 60 NNE CMX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 W MRF 35 WNW CNM
30 E ROW 40 N HOB 25 NW MAF 10 SSW P07.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE HUL 45 WSW ALB
25 E BFD 15 S CLE 30 SSE CGX 40 NW IRK 25 WNW BIE 30 SSE MCK 25 WSW
EHA 25 E RTN 20 W DEN 35 NNE RWL 25 NNE BPI 45 SW OWY 25 SE RNO 30
WSW SAC 55 SW UKI ...CONT... 25 SSW AST 50 SE SEA 25 SW GEG 35 N SHR
30 WSW REJ 55 N ATY 55 ENE ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE CEW 35 SW HSV
30 SW MKL 65 SW MEM 40 ESE 7R4 ...CONT... 60 W MFE 35 E JCT 35 ENE
FSI 30 SE CNU 15 WSW BMG 15 NNE UNI 10 NE EKN 50 SW RIC 45 E RWI 35
ESE EWN.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
INTO THE GREAT LAKES...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE DIGGING SLOWLY SWD ALONG THE ORE/NRN CA
COAST TUESDAY...WITH BROAD/FLAT RIDGE PERSISTING DOWNSTREAM OVER THE
NRN PLAINS AND NRN GREAT LAKES.  A SERIES OF SUBTLE DISTURBANCES
WILL REMAIN TRAPPED WITHIN WEAK FLOW REGIME OVER THE SRN PLAINS AND
THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES...AND SUSTAIN CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION ACROSS
THESE AREAS.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES...
PRIMARY FOCUS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ALONG
SURFACE COLD FRONT SHIFTING SLOWLY SWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND
SEWD INTO THE NRN GREAT LAKES TUESDAY. NOCTURNAL MCS WILL LIKELY 
DIMINISH DURING THE MORNING OVER NRN NEB/SERN SD INTO MN... THOUGH A
THREAT OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS EARLY IN
THE DAY.  A VERY WARM AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL LIKELY REMAIN
CAPPED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY INTO THE NRN MS RIVER VALLEY/GREAT LAKES.
 HOWEVER BY LATE IN THE DAY...CONVERGENCE INVOF OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES/SURFACE FRONT SHOULD SUPPORT VIGOROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT FROM THE MID MO RIVER VALLEY ENEWD INTO THE NRN GREAT
LAKES. COMBINATION OF CAPE AND SHEAR APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS AND MULTICELL CLUSTERS...WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY ORGANIZING
INTO ONE OR MORE SEVERE MCSS SHIFTING EWD INTO NRN IA AND THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT.

FARTHER SW...COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND SURFACE HEATING MAY
ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS OF NERN
CO/SERN WY/WRN NEB.  VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MODEST SHEAR WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE HAIL/WIND...AND POSSIBLY A SUPERCELLULAR
TORNADO...AS THESE STORMS DEVELOP AND SPREAD ENEWD THROUGH THE
EVENING.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL ALSO LIKELY ORGANIZE INTO A SEVERE MCS
INTO NRN/CENTRAL NEB AND SRN SD OVERNIGHT.

..EVANS.. 06/07/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.