[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 231732
SWODY2
SPC AC 231731

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 PM CDT FRI JUL 23 2004

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE YUM 75 ENE BLH
30 NNE PRC 15 WSW PGA 50 E MLF 55 SW DPG 50 WNW ELY 45 NNW TPH 30
ESE BIH 15 ENE FAT 35 NNW SAC 30 WNW RBL 30 NE 4BK 25 SSE ONP 25 E
OLM 45 ENE BLI ...CONT... 50 NNW FCA 45 NE 3DU 45 E LVM 20 WNW GCC
60 ENE DGW 20 SSW AIA 40 SSW IML 50 E LAA EHA 45 SSE LBL 25 NNE GAG
30 WSW HUT 30 ENE CNK 10 NNW FNB 25 SW P35 20 NW COU 35 W POF 25 S
DYR 10 NW 0A8 35 S ANB 15 W RMG 30 NNW CHA 35 SSW LOZ 25 NNW SHD 40
ENE CXY 15 S CON 40 SSE HUL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL ROCKIES...

UPPER RIDGE HAS SHIFTED INTO THE SWRN U.S. AS NWLY FLOW ALOFT
PERSISTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S.  AT THE SFC...DOMINANT HIGH
PRESSURE HAS WEDGED AGAINST THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES AND SHOULD BE RELUCTANT TO ERODE EAST WITH RIDGE AXIS NOT
EXPECTED TO SHIFT OUT OF CO INTO KS UNTIL EARLY EVENING.

COOL ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD PREVENT SIGNIFICANT BOUNDARY LAYER
DESTABILIZATION DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD BUT SHOULD MAINTAIN
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG/WEST OF
THE FRONT RANGE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON.  IT
APPEARS SBCAPE VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE ON THE ORDER OF 500-800J/KG
WITHIN MARGINAL LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT...ROUGHLY 6C/KM.  FORECAST
SOUNDINGS FOR THIS REGION INDICATE MORE THAN ADEQUATE DEEP LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS...HOWEVER MARGINAL INSTABILITY MAY
ULTIMATELY LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL.

..DARROW.. 07/23/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.