[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 230628
SWODY2
SPC AC 230627

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0127 AM CDT FRI JUL 23 2004

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE YUM 45 NW GBN
55 SSE FLG 55 SSE PGA 50 E MLF 55 SW DPG 35 WSW ELY 50 SE NFL 30 ESE
BIH 15 ENE FAT 35 E SAC 40 ESE RBL 35 E MHS 45 WSW MHS 25 E 4BK 20
SSW SLE 45 SE SEA 45 ENE BLI ...CONT... 50 WNW CTB 20 WNW GTF 45 NNE
BIL 25 NW GCC 30 SW PHP 40 N BUB 35 SSW HSI 15 SE TOP 30 NNW HRO 50
WSW MEM 25 W BHM 15 NW AHN 35 NNE SPA 30 W BKW 25 NNW EKN 15 SSE CXY
25 NNW BDR 15 WNW HYA ...CONT... 20 SW LCH 40 NW POE 15 E GGG 45 NW
TYR 15 SSW SEP 25 NE JCT 30 SSE DRT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A FAIRLY BENIGN SEVERE PATTERN EXPECTED ACROSS THE LWR 48 ON
SATURDAY.  WEAK RIDGES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE SERN STATES AND
CA/NV...WITH THE MAIN BELT OF THE WLYS CONFINED TO CNTRL/ERN CANADA.
 A WEAK SRN STREAM JET WILL EXTEND FROM SWRN CANADA SE ACROSS THE
NRN HALF OF THE RCKYS AND THE CNTRL PLNS.  A DISTURBANCE IN THIS
FLOW...ATTM OVER ID/WRN MT...SHOULD SETTLE SE ACROSS WY/NRN CO AND
THE CNTRL HI PLNS ON SATURDAY.

AT LWR LEVELS...DIFFUSE FRONT MARKING SRN EDGE OF EXPANSIVE SURFACE
ANTICYCLONE DEVELOPING/ELONGATING SWD ACROSS THE PLNS/MS VLY AND
NERN STATES SHOULD REACH AN E TX/TN VLY/ERN CAROLINAS AXIS BY LATE
SATURDAY.

...WY/CO...
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WY AND CNTRL/NW CO
LIKELY TO RESULT IN AFTERNOON STORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THESE AREAS AS
SLUGGISH LOW LEVEL FLOW REGIME MAINTAINS AMPLE SUPPLY OF BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT/DESTABILIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER IMPULSE MAY SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY
SEVERE STORMS/STORM CLUSTERS AS DEEP WNWLY SHEAR INCREASES TO AOA 30
KT.  THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS...HOWEVER...SHOULD BE LIMITED TO
LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AS MEAN MLCAPE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN BLO 1000 J/KG.

ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH CNTRL STATES SURFACE RIDGE MAY
BOOST UPSLOPE COMPONENT ACROSS ERN WY/CO...AND ALLOW STORMS TO
SPREAD EWD OFF THE MOUNTAINS.  BUT STORM STRENGTH WILL LIKELY BE
MITIGATED BY LOW CLOUDS/MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS OVER
THE PLNS.

..CORFIDI.. 07/23/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.