[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 210655
SWODY2
SPC AC 210654

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 AM CDT WED JUL 21 2004

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W
ERI MGW BKW TRI BWG MVN COU ICT DDC 35 NNW RSL OMA ALO 60 SE OSC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE DRT AUS 10 W
GLS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N PIE AYS RMG 65
SSW CKV UNO BVO 55 E AMA MAF P07 ...CONT... 45 WSW FHU PHX 65 S SGU
BIH SCK RBL LMT 55 SSE BNO TWF 35 ENE SUN 10 N MSO GTF MLS PIR FSD
10 E FRM VOK OSC ...CONT... 35 WNW EFK MSV 25 ENE ACY.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO
THE UPPER OH VALLEY...

...MID MS VALLEY INTO UPPER OH VALLEY...
LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER CENTRAL CANADA WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE
HUDSON BAY BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH BROAD CYCLONIC MID LEVEL
WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES REGION. MODELS
SUGGEST THAT WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM KS INTO NORTHERN OH
BY 23/00Z...WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF BOUNDARY /MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2500 J/KG/.  RELATIVELY WEAK
CAP SHOULD ALLOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS
AXIS...SPREADING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS
DURING THE EVENING.  WIND FIELDS WILL BE MARGINAL FOR CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION /20-30KT AT 500MB/...BUT VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS MAY POSE
A RISK OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

...KS/MO...
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER WESTERN KS/EASTERN
CO/TX PANHANDLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS COLD FRONT SURGES SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.  THESE STORMS MAY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO VERY
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN KS AND WESTERN MO. 
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL APPEAR POSSIBLE IN STRONGER CELLS.

..HART.. 07/21/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.