[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Jul 19 07:30:38 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 190728
SWODY2
SPC AC 190727

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 AM CDT MON JUL 19 2004

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM INL
EAU 55 NNW LAF DEC 40 SSW IRK OMA FSD JMS 50 NNE MOT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NW CMX RHI MKG MTC
...CONT... 40 SSE LCH MCB TOI AHN CLT 35 SE PSK JKL BWG HRO MKO CSM
CDS BGS 10 W DRT ...CONT... 45 W FHU 40 WNW SAD PRC 55 NW BLH BFL
SAC RBL 4LW BOI GTF 65 ENE HVR.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ON TUESDAY OVER PARTS OF THE
MIDWEST STATES...

...MIDWEST STATES...
FAST WESTERLY MID LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
ON TUESDAY...WITH SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING FROM MT INTO
THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES.  MAIN SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL LIKELY
EXTEND FROM EASTERN ND INTO IA/IL...WITH BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND
ENHANCED LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ALONG AND NORTH OF FRONT. 
THIS...COMBINED WITH APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WILL AID IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS
OF ND/MN/SD.  THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE NIGHT ALONG BOUNDARY INTO PARTS OF IA/IL/MO.  A VERY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS FORECAST OVER THIS AREA WITH MLCAPE VALUES OVER
3500 J/KG.  ALSO...VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

...NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
OTHER ISOLATED HIGH-BASED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
TUESDAY OVER PARTS OF MT/WY AND WESTERN SD...WITH DAMAGING WINDS
BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

..HART.. 07/19/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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