[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 080730
SWODY2
SPC AC 080729

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT THU JUL 08 2004

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE
ELO 20 E MSP 10 SSE SPW OFK 25 NW BUB 35 WSW VTN 25 SSW BIS 70 NNW
DVL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM BRO 40 SSW ALI 30 NNW
ALI 45 SSE AUS 40 NW LFK 25 SSW HOT 25 NE LIT 15 WNW POF 45 N COU 20
SW LWD 15 NNW SLN 45 NE LAA 25 N TAD 50 NNW TCC 15 SW HOB 20 WSW
P07.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW FHU 10 NNE GBN
40 SSE LAS 45 NE DRA 45 E EKO 15 WSW MLD 45 WNW BPI 30 SSW WRL 35
SSW 4BQ 45 NNW ISN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N ANJ 15 NNE MBS
20 WSW ARB 35 W CMH 55 W HTS 30 NE JKL 30 NE TRI 35 NNE HKY 20 ENE
SOP 40 E EWN.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY...

...NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY...

BROAD RIDGE CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE DOMINATE OVER THE CONUS AS
HEIGHTS SLOWLY RISE CENTRAL U.S. AND STRONGER WLYS RETREAT TO NRN
BORDER STATES.

SURFACE AND UPPER LOW SRN CANADIAN PROVINCES GRADUALLY WEAKENS AND
MOVES EWD HAVING LITTLE EFFECT ON THE LOWER 48. LOW PRESSURE
PERSISTS E OF ROCKIES MAINTAINING A SLY FLOW OF VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS MUCH OF PLAINS. MID LEVEL WARMING ALONG
WITH BUILDING HEIGHTS ALOFT SHOULD CAP OFF MUCH OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OVER ALL BUT THE NRN PLAINS.

HOWEVER WITH DEWPOINTS NEAR OR ABOVE 70F SPREADING NWD POSSIBLY INTO
THE DAKOTAS...AND PRESENCE OF STEEP 850-500 MB LAPSE RATES IN EXCESS
OF 8C/KM...A POTENTIALLY VERY TO EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL
REMAIN MUCH OF THE NRN AND CENTRAL PLAINS.

HAVE LIMITED THE SLIGHT RISK TO NRN PLAINS...WHERE DEEP LAYER SHEAR
IS STRONGEST ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE WLYS ALONG INTERNATIONAL
BORDER. ADDITIONAL THE MID LEVEL CAPPING WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS
FURTHER S IN PLAINS.

DETAILS OF THE SEVERE THREAT WILL HAVE TO BE LEFT FOR LATER
FORECASTS FOR THIS PERIOD...AS REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM DAY 1
WILL LIKELY PLAY AN IMPORTANT ROLE IN INITIATION FRIDAY PM.

THE EXPECTED STRONG HEATING COULD STILL RESULT IN LATE
AFTERNOON/EVENING SEVERE AS FAR S AS KS/NE BORDER GIVEN THE AMOUNT
OF INSTABILITY. HOWEVER CAP AND WEAK SHEAR WILL CONFINE THREAT TO
ISOLATED PULSE STORMS.

..HALES.. 07/08/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.