[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Aug 30 17:21:42 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 301720
SWODY2
SPC AC 301717

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1217 PM CDT MON AUG 30 2004

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW CTB 15 SW MSO
55 ENE BKE 60 NNE LMT 40 N MFR 25 N SLE 30 E CLM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW 7R4 15 SSE HEZ
35 WSW TCL 25 SE HSV 20 SSW HSS 35 SE ECG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW TUS 45 SW SOW
70 WSW FMN 30 N MTJ 20 WSW LAR 50 NNW BFF 15 SE PHP 50 WSW ABR 10
ESE JMS 60 N DVL ...CONT... 35 NNW APN 35 NNE MKG 40 ESE JVL 35 ESE
OTM 30 SE TOP 40 SSW ICT 45 NNW CDS 15 S BGS 40 NNE DRT 15 E CRP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CENTRAL PLAINS TO UPPER MS VALLEY...

LARGE SCALE HEIGHT RISES WILL DOMINATE THE CENTRAL U.S. TUESDAY AS
UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST INTO THE PLAINS.  THIS WILL ENSURE STRONGER
FLOW ALOFT WILL RESIDE ACROSS SRN CANADA INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
REGION.  IN THE ABSENCE OF SIGNIFICANT LARGE SCALE ASCENT...IT
APPEARS BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING WILL BE INSTRUMENTAL IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION...AND THIS SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED ALONG
THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY ALONG WEAK WIND SHIFT.  DOWNSTREAM ACROSS
MN...VEERED BUT WEAK LLJ MAY ENHANCE THE THREAT OF ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. WEAK SHEAR AND
MARGINAL LARGE SCALE FOCUS/ASCENT SUGGEST THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MINIMAL.  HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS MAY
PRODUCE HAIL WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS.

..DARROW.. 08/30/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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