[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 311728
SWODY2
SPC AC 311725

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT TUE AUG 31 2004

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S BPT 15 W POE 40
E ELD 30 E MEM 30 SSW BWG 10 ESE 5I3 15 NE ECG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE OSC 20 ENE GRR
35 NNW CGX 30 NE MLI 20 NNE OTM 40 WNW DSM 25 NE FOD 35 WSW LSE 25 N
AUW 15 NE CMX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N OLF 45 NW COD 15
WSW MLD 50 ENE U31 55 SE TVL 25 NNE SAC 40 ENE ACV 50 ESE OTH 45 ESE
SLE 35 ESE EPH 30 NNW 63S.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 S GBN 50 E PHX 25
WNW GUP 40 NNE DRO 25 S 4FC 45 WSW AKO 55 E LIC 45 SSE LAA 50 NNE
HOB 40 SSE MAF 25 SW JCT 25 S SAT 25 ENE CRP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NWRN U.S...

STRONG HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NWRN U.S. DURING THE DAY2
PERIOD AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES ONSHORE INTO THE NRN INTER-MOUNTAIN
REGION.  THIS FEATURE WILL PROVE RESPONSIBLE IN FORCING A
SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT INLAND...WITH ENHANCED FRONTAL CIRCULATIONS
EXPECTED TO AID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS AHEAD OF THIS WIND
SHIFT INDICATE VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR...MORE THAN ADEQUATE TO WARRANT AT LEAST LOW PROBABILITIES FOR
DAMAGING WINDS OR PERHAPS HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS.  IF
STRONGER INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP ACROSS THIS REGION...A SLIGHT RISK
MAY BE REQUIRED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

...UPPER GREAT LAKES TO IA...

WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DE-AMPLIFY AND SHIFT SEWD TOWARD
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY.  WEAK SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF
THIS FEATURE WILL LIMIT THE CONVECTIVE THREAT ALONG SFC WIND SHIFT
ACROSS WI INTO IA.  HOWEVER...SLOWLY MOISTENING PROFILES ACROSS THE
ERN PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND THE EXPECTED STRONG BOUNDARY
LAYER HEATING MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT IN GENERATING AN ISOLATED LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORM.  WEAK SHEAR BUT ADEQUATE
INSTABILITY COULD SUPPORT GUSTY WINDS OR SOME HAIL.

..DARROW.. 08/31/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.