[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 290720
SWODY2
SPC AC 290717

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0217 AM CDT SUN AUG 29 2004

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW TUS 40 NW SAD
40 SSW GNT 50 NE 4SL 35 ENE ASE 55 N CYS 50 NNW CPR 40 ESE WEY 55
WNW BOI 80 ENE RDM 20 NW PUW 20 NNE EAT 60 ENE BLI ...CONT... 20 NE
INL 40 WSW DLH 15 ENE MKT 35 W FOD 35 ESE GRI 15 ESE RSL 20 S END 20
SSW SPS 50 E SJT 40 N DRT 30 WSW COT 35 ENE CRP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MIA 40 ENE FMY 35 WNW
ORL 25 S CTY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ESE ANJ 25 SW APN
35 NE MKG 20 WSW MTW 40 SSW IMT 35 SW CMX 90 ENE ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW MOB 40 SW TOI
45 N ABY 35 WNW AHN 45 NNE CSV 45 ESE LUK 20 SSW CAK 20 N JHW.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE GRT BASIN/NRN RCKYS ON MONDAY IN
WAKE OF STRONG SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW OVER SRN SASKATCHEWAN.  THE
LATTER SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FROM WRN ONTARIO/NE MN INTO
SRN QUEBEC DURING THE PERIOD.  FARTHER E...EXPECT RIDGE TO PERSIST
OVER THE NW ATLANTIC AS T.S. GASTON SLOWLY INCREASES FORWARD SPEED
AND MOVES NE ACROSS THE LWR CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION /SEE TPC FCSTS FOR
DETAILS/.

TRAILING FRONTAL ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH DISTURBANCE NOW OVER
SASKATCHEWAN WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NEWD AS A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE NRN
PLNS/UPR MS VLY DURING THE PERIOD.  WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THAT
FEATURE...SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL REMAIN WEAK.

...SRN/CNTRL HI PLNS...
STRONG INSTABILITY /MLCAPE TO 2000 J PER KG/ WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF CO/NM AND THE ADJACENT HI PLNS ON MONDAY AS SURFACE
HEATING DESTABILIZES AXIS OF RESIDUAL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH WEAKENING FRONT NOW OVER THE SRN PLNS. COMBINATION
OF STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND VERY WEAK SHEAR WILL FAVOR
SCATTERED AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING PULSE STORMS...SOME OF WHICH MAY
BRIEFLY POSE A THREAT FOR DOWNBURSTS/SEVERE HAIL.

...NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY...
AMPLIFICATION OF WRN RIDGE AND DIURNAL PROCESSES EXPECTED TO RESULT
IN STRENGTHENING OF LOW LEVEL JET/WARM ADVECTION OVER THE ERN DAKS
AND MN MONDAY NIGHT.  THIS MAY RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS AS WNWLY MID LEVEL FLOW MAINTAINS
AXIS OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OVER REGION.  SPARSE MOISTURE
SHOULD LIMIT MAGNITUDE OF ELEVATED CAPE...AND THE LIKELIHOOD FOR
SEVERE HAIL.

...NRN WI/NRN MI...
WITH SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW OVER SASKATCHEWAN EXPECTED TO LIFT ENE
ACROSS SRN ONTARIO THIS PERIOD...POTENTIAL FOR STRONG STORMS SHOULD
REMAIN MINIMAL OVER NRN PORTIONS OF WI/MI ON MONDAY.  NEVERTHELESS
...DAYTIME HEATING BENEATH LINGERING PATTERN OF SEASONABLY COOL AND
CYCLONIC 500 MB FLOW MAY YIELD A FEW CELLS WITH SMALL HAIL.

..CORFIDI.. 08/29/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.