[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 270730
SWODY2
SPC AC 270728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CDT FRI AUG 27 2004

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW
ROC 25 SW BFD 20 NNE PKB 20 WNW LEX 30 WSW EVV 40 SSE SPI 35 ESE CGX
70 N MTC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE HYA 15 S POU
30 W CXY 15 ENE BKW 35 ENE AVL 50 SSE CLT 25 ENE ILM ...CONT... 50 W
RRT 10 NE MBG 30 SW RAP 30 WNW SNY 30 NNW EHA 50 W CSM 55 SW TUL 20
WSW TBN 20 NE IRK 35 S OSH 10 NNE APN ...CONT... 25 SW DMN 45 SSE
FMN 55 WNW COS 15 SW RWL 30 WNW PIH 45 N BKE 35 NNW 4OM.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE OH VLY/LWR
GRT LKS...

...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD...LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE OVER THE N CNTRL U.S.
THIS PERIOD AS IMPULSE NOW OVER THE GRT BASIN MOVES ACROSS THE CNTRL
PLNS/MID MS VLY...AND NRN STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER WRN ONTARIO
CONTINUES RAPIDLY ENE ACROSS QUEBEC INTO SRN NEWFOUNDLAND.  HEIGHTS
SHOULD RISE OVER THE SWRN STATES...AND OVER THE WRN N ATLANTIC.

COLD FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM THE UPR GRT LKS TO THE SRN HI PLNS
SHOULD REACH A SRN ONTARIO/CNTRL IL/SE OK AXIS BY 12Z SATURDAY. 
APPROACH OF CNTRL PLNS IMPULSE EXPECTED TO INDUCE WAVE DEVELOPMENT
ALONG FRONT OVER THE IL/IND AREA...WHILE ERN PART OF BOUNDARY DROPS
SWD INTO NRN NEW ENG IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING CYCLONE IN QUEBEC.

...OH VLY/LWR GRT LKS...
POCKET OF MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY /MLCAPE TO 2000 J PER KG/
SHOULD DEVELOP WITH DAYTIME HEATING INVOF DEVELOPING FRONTAL WAVE IN
IND/IL/OH AND SRN MI.  COUPLED WITH MODEST /25-30 KT/ DEEP SWLY
SHEAR...EXPECT A FEW STRONG DIURNALLY ENHANCED STORMS /MAINLY
MULTICELLS/ WITH HIGH WIND.  LATER IN THE PERIOD...THIS ACTIVITY MAY
CONSOLIDATE INTO ONE OR TWO SMALL MCSS WHICH SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP
E/NE INTO NW PA/WRN NY.  BUT UNFAVORABLE TIME OF DAY AND WEAK MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD LIMIT ANY ASSOCIATED SEVERE THREAT.

...NRN NEW ENG...
MODERATE /40 KT/ DEEP WLY SHEAR WILL OVERSPREAD NRN NEW ENG ON
SATURDAY ALONG SRN FRINGE OF STRONG UPPER IMPULSE CROSSING QUEBEC. 
BUT MEAN WLY FLOW WILL KEEP CONVERGENCE WEAK ALONG ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT DROPPING S INTO NRN PORTIONS OF ME/NH/VT.  COUPLED WITH WARM
TEMPERATURES IN THE 700-600 MB LAYER DUE TO RIDGING OFF THE ERN
SEABOARD...POTENTIAL FOR SUSTAINED STORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD
REMAIN LIMITED.

..CORFIDI.. 08/27/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.