[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 060656
SWODY2
SPC AC 060655

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 AM CDT FRI AUG 06 2004

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W
RRT 55 W AXN 15 NNE YKN 30 WNW OFK 30 NW EAR 35 NNW IML 10 SW AIA 40
N CDR 25 ESE REJ 40 SSW DIK 70 NNE OLF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW CTY 50 SE JAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW IWD 30 S LSE 15
ESE OTM 10 NE FLV 40 SSW ICT 40 SW END 45 SSE CDS 35 WNW ABI DRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S GBN 40 NW PHX 25
SSE GCN 50 ESE PGA 15 NW CEZ 25 SE MTJ 40 SSW 4FC 15 N FCL 55 N CYS
55 S 81V 35 SSW MLS 80 NW GGW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE ACY 35 WSW ABE
40 NE ROC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW BML PSM.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS NORTHERN PLAINS...

A RATHER VIGOROUS MID-SUMMER TROUGH TOPS THE WRN RIDGE ON SATURDAY
AS A COLD UPPER LOW MOVES SLOWLY EWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. A COLD
FRONT PRECEED BY A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS NRN HIGH
PLAINS SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING AS A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF
UPPER TROUGH ALONG CANADIAN BORDER. 

SLY FLOW OF MDTLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF SURFACE TROUGH
WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS TO SUPPORT ACTIVE CONVECTION BY
AFTERNOON.  STEEP LAPSE RATES AND THE COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH SUGGESTS THAT LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY
IN THE MOST VIGOROUS STORMS. STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS SURFACE TROUGH DURING THE EVENING WITH THE
APPROACH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF AN
MCS ACROSS ND/NRN SD SATURDAY NIGHT.  ASSOCIATED WITH MCS FORMATION
WOULD BE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASE IN WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL SATURDAY
EVENING.

..HALES.. 08/06/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.