[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Mar 15 19:51:08 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 151952
SWODY1
SPC AC 151950

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0150 PM CST WED MAR 15 2006

VALID 152000Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WA/ORE COAST...

LATEST VIS IMAGERY SUGGEST LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE INLAND...MAINLY ALONG THE WA
COAST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  APPARENT WEAK RIDGING
ALOFT...128W...IN THE WAKE OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY TEMPORARILY SUPPRESS
TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET AND
STRONGER REGION OF ASCENT APPROACHES THE COAST LATE TONIGHT.

...ARKLATEX...

HIGH PLAINS SHORTWAVE HAS ENHANCED RETURN FLOW ACROSS THE WRN GULF
OF MEXICO INTO TX THIS AFTERNOON AS SFC DEW POINTS SLOWLY RISE
THROUGH THE 50S TO NEAR 60 ALONG THE COAST.  WITH TIME...ELEVATED
MOISTENING/DESTABILIZING WILL OCCUR DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
FARTHER INLAND AS TRAJECTORIES SHUNT THIS AIRMASS INTO THE ARKLATEX
REGION.  ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL INITIATE OVER THIS AREA LATE AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD EVOLVE TOWARD 12Z...HOWEVER GREATER
CONCENTRATION OF ACTIVITY SHOULD OCCUR LATER IN THE DAY2 PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 03/15/2006








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