[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 070053
SWODY1
SPC AC 070052

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CST MON MAR 06 2006

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WRN STATES...

07/00Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF RATHER STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND RESULTANT WEAK INSTABILITY INVOF COLD
MID-LEVEL TROUGH /I.E. -28 TO -30 C AT 500 MB/ MOVING INTO THE NRN
ROCKIES AND GREAT BASIN.  DESPITE THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING...EXPECT ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS TO CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT FROM REGION OF STRONGEST HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT
WWD TO NEAR TROUGH AXIS.

...OK/SRN KS...

SURFACE ANALYSIS AND 07/00Z FTW SOUNDING SHOW LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURNING NWD THROUGH TX WITH WEAK WARM FRONT/MOISTURE DISCONTINUITY
EXTENDING FROM THE NERN TX PNHDL SEWD THROUGH SWRN OK AND INTO
E-CNTRL TX.  STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ OVERNIGHT FROM WRN PORTIONS OF
TX/OK INTO THE DAKOTAS WILL ENHANCE NWD RETURN OF THIS MOISTURE
THROUGH THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.  SOME POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED TSTMS
WILL EXIST LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING ALONG RETREATING 850 MB
BAROCLINIC ZONE WHERE WAA AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL BE MAXIMIZED. 
HERE...RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY FOR
PARCELS ORIGINATING FROM AROUND 800 MB.

...CAROLINAS...

FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH POTENT MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW TRANSLATING
SEWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY AND CNTRL APPALACHIANS IS CONTRIBUTING TO
AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS THIS EVENING OVER THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS. 
MORE RECENTLY...ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER N-CNTRL
SC/S-CNTRL NC...TO THE N OF ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW. EXPECT POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING INTO
OVERNIGHT AS THIS UPPER LOW CONTINUES SEWD THROUGH AREA.

..MEAD.. 03/07/2006