[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 061954
SWODY1
SPC AC 061953

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0153 PM CST MON MAR 06 2006

VALID 062000Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CAROLINAS...
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE MIDWEST WILL MOVE SEWD TO THE
CAROLINAS BY 06Z AND OFF THE COAST BY 09Z.  LEE-SFC LOW OVER UPSTATE
SC WILL TRACK TO NEAR KCHS BY 03Z AND TO THE WRN ATLANTIC BASIN
AFTER 06Z.  SFC FLOW MAY BACK VCNTY THE LOW TO ADVECT/MAINTAIN MID
40S BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS THROUGH MID-EVENING.  AS H5
TEMPERATURES COOL AND ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE CONTRIBUTES TO
MOISTENING OF THE COLUMN...A LOW TSTM PROBABILITY WILL EXIST DURING
THE EVENING.

...CNTRL/ERN OK...
AS THE NOCTURNAL LLJ VEERS LATER TONIGHT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS...
ISENTROPIC LIFT BECOMES ENHANCED ALONG AN H85-H7 BAROCLINIC ZONE
SITUATED ACROSS OK.  SUFFICIENT MOISTENING IN THAT LAYER WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION AND PERHAPS AN ELEVATED TSTM THREAT
AFTER ABOUT 09Z.

...WRN STATES...
LARGE SCALE TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD INTO THE WRN STATES THIS
AFTN WITH SMALLER SCALE VORTICITY CENTERS MOVING INTO WRN WA AND
CNTRL CA.  COOL MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES.  MOST OF THE
TSTM THREAT WILL BE TIED TO THE IMPULSE THAT WILL TRACK FROM CNTRL
CA INTO THE NRN GRT BASIN THROUGH THE NIGHT.

..RACY.. 03/06/2006