[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 310050
SWODY1
SPC AC 310049

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CST MON JAN 30 2006

VALID 310100Z - 311200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S
PNS 20 ENE PNS 45 NE DHN 15 N MCN 20 E AGS 35 ENE OGB 50 S CRE
...CONT... 40 NNE SGJ 45 SW CTY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE GPT 25 E MOB 20
S AUO 25 ENE RMG 45 ENE CHA 20 SSW TRI 25 S BLF ROA 30 SSW SHD 40 NE
CHO 60 E WAL ...CONT... 30 ENE VRB 50 W FMY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW RBL 35 NW RBL
MHS 30 WNW LKV 35 E LKV 15 WSW WMC 40 WSW U31 50 NNW BIH 25 NW FAT
20 WSW MER 30 WNW SCK 25 SSW RBL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST/NRN FL...

...SERN STATES...
UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER TN/LOWER MS RIVER VALLEYS AT
THIS TIME WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVERNIGHT AS IT TRANSLATES EWD
TOWARD THE MIDDLE/SRN ATLANTIC COAST.  100 KT MID LEVEL JET NOSING
THROUGH THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH WILL SUPPORT STRONG HEIGHT FALLS
/150-180 METERS/ OVER THE SERN STATES. EARLY EVENING SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWED AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER SWRN VA/NWRN NC
WITH A COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD THROUGH NRN GA TO SERN AL/WRN FL
PANHANDLE.  00Z SOUNDINGS INDICATED WLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS IN ADVANCE
OF THIS BOUNDARY LIMITING CONVERGENCE AS THE FRONT MOVES EWD.  BY
12Z TUESDAY...THE SURFACE LOW SHOULD BE ALONG OR JUST EAST OF THE NC
COAST...WITH THE COLD FRONT TRAILING SSWWD OFF THE SRN ATLANTIC
COAST TO CENTRAL FL.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN LIKELY AS STRONG FORCING/LARGE SCALE
ASCENT AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH SPREADS EWD ATOP A MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER THE SERN STATES.  THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN
FOCUSED ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND A PRE-FRONTAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDED FROM ERN SC SWWD INTO SERN GA/ERN FL
PANHANDLE.  DESPITE THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY...A STRONGLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT WITH NEARLY UNI-DIRECTIONAL WIND FLOW WILL SUPPORT LINE
SEGMENTS/BOWS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS. 
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE GREATEST FROM FAR SERN
AL EWD ACROSS SRN GA/NRN FL INTO PARTS OF SRN SC BEFORE ACTIVITY
MOVES OFFSHORE THE SRN ATLANTIC COAST LATER TONIGHT.

..PETERS.. 01/31/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM