[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 241943
SWODY1
SPC AC 241942

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0142 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2006

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW TUS PHX PRC 25
SE GCN 60 N INW 45 WSW GUP 65 WNW TCS 80 ESE DUG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...AZ/NM...
UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE PACIFIC NW TONIGHT AND
BEGIN EJECTING A CLOSED LOW...CURRENTLY LOCATED WEST OF NRN BAJA...
NEWD INTO EXTREME SRN CA. ALTHOUGH SOUNDINGS ACROSS AZ/NM WERE VERY
DRY THIS MORNING...MID/HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE THIS AFTERNOON WAS
STREAMING NWD FROM WRN MEXICO INTO THE SWRN U.S. AHEAD OF THE LOW.
ALSO...LARGE SCALE LIFTING WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TONIGHT AS A
70 KT MID LEVEL JET MAX APPROACHES. THE INCREASING MOISTURE AND LIFT
SHOULD RESULT IN THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR
CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY AFTER 05Z.

...SRN NEW ENGLAND...
INTENSE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED MID/HIGH LEVEL SPEED MAX IS
PROGGED TO MOVE FROM THE OH VALLEY INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT.
ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS WILL BE VERY COLD...LAPSE RATES FROM THE SFC
TO 450 MB ARE EXPECTED TO STEEPEN TO 7-7.5C/KM OVERNIGHT WITH
CONSIDERABLE MOISTENING OF THE LOW AND MID LEVELS. THESE LAPSE RATES
...COMBINED WITH A MOISTENING ENVIRONMENT AND STRONG FORCING...MAY
SUPPORT BANDS OF CONVECTIVE SNOW. AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR
TWO IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OFFSHORE EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

..IMY.. 01/24/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM