[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Jan 24 12:56:18 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 241255
SWODY1
SPC AC 241253

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 AM CST TUE JAN 24 2006

VALID 241300Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 S GBN 20 SSW GBN
45 NW GBN 45 NE BLH 10 SSE EED 35 NNW IGM 65 W GCN 15 SSW GCN 30 S
INW 55 ESE DUG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS IS CHARACTERIZED BY A REX
BLOCK OVER THE PAC COAST...AND A DEEPENING DOWNSTREAM TROUGH OVER
THE GREAT LAKES.  THE MID LEVEL LOW OFF THE SRN CA COAST WILL MOVE
LITTLE UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD WHEN HEIGHTS BEGIN TO FALL ACROSS
THE ERN PAC.  MEANWHILE...THE INTENSE MID LEVEL WAVE OVER THE GREAT
LAKES WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY AND MOVE EWD TOWARD NEW ENGLAND. 
VERY COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM...AND SOME SHALLOW CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM THE NERN OH/WRN PA AREA THIS AFTERNOON TO SRN NEW ENGLAND LATER
TONIGHT.  VERY ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR...BUT THE THREAT
FOR A THUNDERSTORM AT ANY PARTICULAR LOCATION SHOULD REMAIN QUITE
SMALL. FARTHER S...LINGERING MOISTURE/WEAK INSTABILITY NEAR THE SE
ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD BE SHUNTED OFFSHORE BY MID MORNING...THUS AN
OUTLOOK AREA DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE NECESSARY.

...AZ AREA TONIGHT...
AN INCREASINGLY MOIST WARM CONVEYOR BELT WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED
OVER AZ BY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.  MUCH OF THE MOISTURE INCREASE
WILL BE IN THE MID LEVELS...WHERE DESTABILIZATION MAY BE SUFFICIENT
FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BY TONIGHT FROM SE INTO CENTRAL AZ.

..THOMPSON.. 01/24/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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