[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Jan 19 05:34:34 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 190527
SWODY1
SPC AC 190525

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 PM CST WED JAN 18 2006

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE ALS 30 NNE 4SL
70 WNW GUP 35 ENE GCN 10 SSW BCE 55 NW 4HV 45 ENE PUC 35 WSW CAG 35
NW 4FC 35 NW COS 20 ESE ALS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...4-CORNERS/CO...

LATE EVENING SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGRESSING
STEADILY SEWD ACROSS NRN CA INTO THE GREAT BASIN AS STRONGER HIGH
LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPS TOWARD NRN AZ.  PLUME OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES NORTH OF THIS JET WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE 4-CORNERS REGION
LATER TODAY ENHANCING THE THREAT FOR CONVECTION.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST MUCH OF THIS CONVECTION WILL FALL AS HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS AT
HIGH ELEVATIONS WITH JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY PRESENT FOR ISOLATED
LIGHTNING.  THIS SHOULD BE STRONGLY DIURNAL IN NATURE WITH LITTLE
CHANCE FOR TSTM ACTIVITY TO SPREAD EAST OF THE ROCKIES.

...PAC NW...

ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL APPROACH THE WA COAST
LATE IN THE PERIOD. THIS FEATURE WILL FORCE A COLD FRONT ONSHORE
AFTER 06Z ALONG WITH COOLING PROFILES AND INCREASED PROBABILITIES
FOR LOW TOPPED CONVECTION.  EVEN SO...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST ANY
MEANINGFUL THREAT FOR LIGHTING WILL HOLD OFFSHORE DURING THE PERIOD
DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY.

..DARROW.. 01/19/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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