[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 190021
SWODY1
SPC AC 190019

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0619 PM CST WED JAN 18 2006

VALID 190100Z - 191200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW NFL 30 E TPH
30 SSW DRA 35 WSW NID 50 SSW MER 25 E UKI 40 SW MHS 40 E MHS 20 WNW
NFL.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CA...

DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO VEER AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES INLAND
TOWARD THE GREAT BASIN TONIGHT.  AS A RESULT...CONVERGENCE ACROSS
THE SACRAMENTO AND NRN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEYS WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.  IN THE SHORT TERM...STEEP LAPSE RATES NORTH OF STRONG
JET WILL PROVE FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION...ALONG WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. RECENT TRENDS HOWEVER SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY IS
ALREADY BEGINNING TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE WILL
CONTINUE TO WANE.

...ME...

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE RECENTLY BEEN OBSERVED ALONG LEADING EDGE
OF WIND SHIFT OVER WRN ME.  SOUNDINGS SUGGEST PARCELS ARE BEING
LIFTED NEAR 850MB WITHIN STRONG WARM ADVECTION LAYER.  THIS ACTIVITY
WILL PROVE EXTREMELY SPARSE...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT FOR DEEP
CONVECTION EXPECTED TO SHIFT INTO SERN CANADA SHORTLY.

..DARROW.. 01/19/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM