[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 120043
SWODY1
SPC AC 120042

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 PM CST WED JAN 11 2006

VALID 120100Z - 121200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE HSE 10 W EWN
10 NNE FAY 25 SSW DAN 25 SSE LYH 25 ENE CHO 10 N MRB 10 NNE AOO 45
ESE BFD 15 WSW ITH 35 NW ALB 10 SE LCI 35 ESE PWM 60 ESE PWM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MID ATLANTIC...
CLOUD-TOP TEMPERATURES WERE WARMING ACROSS AREAS OF SERN VA AND NERN
NC THIS EVENING AS STRONGER LARGE SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH WRN
PA/NY UPPER TROUGH MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE REGION. HOWEVER...A
DEEP LAYER OF MARITIME MOISTURE REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS  THE COASTAL
PLAIN AHEAD OF A LOW LEVEL WIND SHIFT/WEAKENING FRONT. LIFT ALONG
THIS ADVANCING BOUNDARY...COUPLED WITH RESIDUAL STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH...COULD STILL PROVOKE A
FEW TSTMS WITH MINIMAL SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THE NRN OUTER BANKS AND
VA CAPES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

...NORTHEAST...
STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING WILL ACCOMPANY THE EJECTING SHORT WAVE TROUGH
MOVING FROM PA/NY TO THE GULF OF MAINE THROUGH THE REST OF TONIGHT.
LIFT AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS IMPULSE
HAVE ALREADY RESULTED IN A FEW TSTMS ACROSS PA OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS. AN EXTENSIVE MOIST PLUME AND EVOLVING BAROCLINIC CLOUD BAND
INDICATIVE OF STRONGLY FORCED ASCENT EXIST AHEAD OF THE MAIN
IMPULSE. MARGINAL INSTABILITY WAS INDICATED IN EVENING SOUNDINGS
FROM WAL AND OKX AND WILL CONTINUE TO FEED INTO THE REGION OF
STRONGEST ASCENT. THIS WOULD SUGGEST AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS
REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE DC-NY-BOS CORRIDOR TONIGHT.

..CARBIN.. 01/12/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM