[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 110030
SWODY1
SPC AC 110028

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0628 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2006

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S JAN 25 ESE GWO
50 NNE TUP 40 SW CKV 30 SSE OWB 50 WNW SDF 10 WNW BMG 30 NE HUF 25
WNW LAF 10 WSW VPZ 15 E BEH 10 N JXN 20 SSE MTC 35 NNE CLE CAK 20 N
ZZV 40 SW CMH 30 ESE LUK 35 NW LOZ 10 NW CSV 40 W CHA 15 SSW 0A8 25
S JAN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MIDWEST SWD INTO TN VLY...
UPPER LOW OVER THE OZARKS WILL CONTINUE NEWD INTO THE MIDWEST
OVERNIGHT.  PRIMARY SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK TO NEAR CHICAGO BY 12Z
WITH THE TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVING EWD THROUGH THE OH/TN VLYS AND
DEEP S.

STRONGEST PVA ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER IMPULSE WILL TRANSLATE NEWD
ACROSS IND/OH AND CNTRL KY OVERNIGHT.  ORGANIZED SHORT LINE SEGMENT
THAT BOWED AND PRODUCED GUSTY WINDS ACROSS WRN KY EARLIER HAS
WEAKENED.  BUOYANCY ACROSS THE MIDWEST IS ONLY MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE
OF SCATTERED TSTMS TONIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES LIKELY
FAVORING AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE TRACK OF THE MID-LEVEL LOW.

OTHERWISE...A BAND OF CONVECTION PERSISTS ALONG THE COLD FRONT
MOVING INTO THE DEEP S/TN VLY THIS EVENING.  A LOW PROBABILITY OF
TSTMS WILL EXIST IN A NARROW AXIS THIS EVENING ALONG THE FRONT
ACROSS MIDDLE TN SWD INTO NWRN AL/NERN MS.  BUT...THETA-E AXIS HAS
BEEN PINCHED-OFF TO THE S AS LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES ARE EMANATING
FROM BENEATH THE SERN STATES ANTICYCLONE.  AS A RESULT... THE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM FROM THE COLD FRONT DOES NOT
APPEAR VERY FAVORABLE FOR TSTMS LASTING BEYOND EARLY EVENING.

..RACY.. 01/11/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM