[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Jan 11 05:41:19 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 110540
SWODY1
SPC AC 110538

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2006

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW ART 15 N RUT
75 SSW BHB ...CONT... 60 SSE EWN FLO 35 NW CAE 35 SW HSS 10 SW LOZ
45 SE LUK 35 SE DAY 35 ESE TOL 55 E MTC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE BLI 50 SSE OLM
EUG OTH 45 WSW OTH.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE POLAR WLYS WILL REMAIN ACTIVE ON WED.  AN AMPLIFYING UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING ASHORE THE PAC NW WILL DIG SEWD INTO THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY WED NIGHT.  DOWNSTREAM...THE UPPER LOW OVER
THE OH VLY WILL TRANSLATE QUICKLY INTO NEW ENGLAND BY EARLY THU AS
IT BEGINS TO PHASE WITH THE PRIMARY WLYS AGAIN.  

...NERN STATES...
STRONGEST LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OH VLY UPPER
LOW WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS THE MID/UPPER OH VLY AND INTO THE MIDDLE
ATLC STATES THROUGH WED AFTN...THEN INTO NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. 
THOUGH MSTR RETURN FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO/WRN ATLC WILL BE
MINIMAL...STRONG UVV AND INJECTION OF STEEPER LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT
ATOP SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR BANDS OF
CONVECTION. SEVERAL BANDS OF CONVECTION ARE APT TO EVOLVE FROM
ALONG/W OF THE APPALACHIAN CREST...THEN MOVE/DEVELOP EWD ACROSS SRN
NEW ENGLAND AND THE NRN/MID-ATLC COASTAL AREAS LATE WED/WED NIGHT.
MEAN FLOW REGIME WILL BE QUITE STRONG...BUT PRESENCE OF A NEAR
SURFACE STABLE LAYER IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS SHOULD PRECLUDE
DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL.

...PAC NW...
MINUS 30 DEGREE C H5 TEMPERATURES SPREADING INLAND ATOP A MOIST
CYCLONIC UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO SPORADIC
TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE PAC NW.  MID-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN WED AFTN...LESSENING THE RISK OF TSTMS AS THE DAY
WEARS ON.

..RACY.. 01/11/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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