[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 100052
SWODY1
SPC AC 100051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CST MON JAN 09 2006

VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LFK 45
NW UTS 25 NNE CRS PRX 15 NNW DEQ 40 SSW HOT 15 W ELD 20 ESE SHV LFK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E BRO 15 ENE SAT
ACT 30 S MLC 20 ENE FSM 25 NE BVX 65 SSW CKV 40 SE BNA 10 NW RMG 25
SW ANB 15 NNE MEI 30 WSW JAN 25 S ESF 45 SSW LCH.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX...

...ARKLATEX...
UPPER LOW HAS BEGUN TO TURN MORE ELY THIS EVE AND WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSLATE ACROSS OK/N TX OVERNIGHT.  A SURFACE LOW WAS FORMING EAST
OF DALLAS...ALONG A FRONT THAT WAS SITUATED FROM NRN MS-SRN AR-CNTRL
TX.  THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO NRN LA OVERNIGHT AS THE WRN
PORTIONS OF THE FRONT ACCELERATE SEWD ACROSS SERN TX BY 12Z.

WINDS WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW WILL
ACCELERATE THIS EVENING AS LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS SPREAD EWD. 
RESULTANT ISENTROPIC LIFT AND MOISTENING OF THE COLUMN WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION/WEAKENING OF CINH ALONG/E OF THE
SURFACE LOW TONIGHT.  CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING ACROSS ERN TX
AND BANDS OF TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE THIS EVENING FROM ERN TX
INTO SRN AR AND NWRN LA.

TSTMS WILL HAVE THE PROPENSITY TO BE ROOTED ABOVE THE DEEPENING COLD
DOME ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...BUT THERE WILL BE A LOW
PROBABILITY OF TSTMS BECOMING SURFACE BASED OVER PARTS OF ECNTRL
TX...NWRN LA AND SCNTRL AR.  EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL INCREASE AS THE
UPPER IMPULSE APPROACHES AND A FEW ORGANIZED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH HAIL OR PERHAPS DAMAGING WINDS.

..RACY.. 01/10/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM