[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 251631
SWODY1
SPC AC 251629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 AM CST SAT FEB 25 2006

VALID 251630Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LA/MS/AL/FL PANHANDLE...
MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND GULF COAST REGION.  THE LEAD TROUGH
IS NOW OVER LA/MS...AND APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH CLUSTER OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN NEW-MOB.  THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
TRACK EASTWARD ALONG SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE INTO THE FL PANHANDLE
THIS AFTERNOON.  INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING
NEAR COAST MAY AID THREAT OF ISOLATED GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
IN STRONGER CELLS.  VEERING LOW LEVEL WINDS BEHIND THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD TEND TO WEAKEN LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE LATER TODAY IN THIS
REGION.  ISOLATED CELLS MAY POSE A RISK OF HAIL...BUT AN ORGANIZED
SEVERE THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

...NORTHEAST FL...
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT SURFACE LOW WILL BEGIN TO DEEPEN THIS
EVENING AS LEAD SYSTEM APPROACHES THE ATLANTIC COAST.  STRENGTHENING
LOW/MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS...COUPLED WITH INFLUX OF HIGHER THETA-E
AIR FROM THE ATLANTIC...INDICATE A THREAT OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
LATER TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF NORTHEAST FL AND SOUTHEAST GA.  RAPID
MOVEMENT OF SYSTEM AND LIMITED THREAT AREA SUGGEST CATEGORICAL
THREAT NOT WARRANTED AT THIS TIME.

..HART.. 02/25/2006