[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 171553
SWODY1
SPC AC 171551

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0951 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2006

VALID 171630Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER ERN NY INTO WRN NEW
ENGLAND...

...ERN NY INTO WRN NEW ENGLAND...
NARROW LINE OF ENHANCED...MOIST CONVECTION CONTINUES ALONG LEADING
EDGE OF SIGNIFICANT LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EWD MOVING
COLD FRONT NOW SHIFTING ACROSS THE HUDSON VALLEY REGION OF ERN NY. 
LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES NARROW AXIS OF HEATING/CLEARING
EXTENDING INTO SERN NY WHICH SHOULD SUSTAIN ENHANCED SURFACE WINDS
WITH THIS ACTIVITY AT LEAST INTO PORTIONS OF WRN NEW ENGLAND.  LARGE
SWATH OF NEAR SEVERE WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY COLD FRONT PASSAGE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEASTERN U.S. AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE DAY NOT ASSOCIATED WITH LEADING LINE OF SHALLOW CONVECTION. 
HOWEVER...APPEARS SOME AUGMENTATION OF THESE LARGER SCALE WINDS WILL
REMAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY AT LEAST FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS.
 LOW CLOUDS MAY PERSIST FARTHER EWD...EAST OF THE CT RIVER
VALLEY...AND LIMIT CONVECTIVE WIND GUST POTENTIAL TOWARDS THE
ATLANTIC COAST.  

...NRN/CENTRAL CA...
VERY COLD AIR ALOFT AND OPEN CELL CU FIELD NOW ASSOCIATED WITH A 
SHORTWAVE TROUGH JUST OF THE CA COAST WILL LIKELY SUPPORT SHALLOW
MOIST CONVECTION THROUGH THE DAY.  ISOLATED CG LIGHTNING STRIKES
SHOULD BE COMMON...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST.

..EVANS.. 02/17/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WERE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 AND ARE NOW AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THIS TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM