[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Feb 15 13:03:09 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 151300
SWODY1
SPC AC 151259

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0659 AM CST WED FEB 15 2006

VALID 151300Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MID MS VALLEY...
FAST ZONAL FLOW IS PRESENT ACROSS THE UNITED STATES TODAY...WITH
SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHEAST.  A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
DIG SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND INTO THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES TODAY. RAPID SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR OVER
PARTS OF CO/KS/OK IN ADVANCE OF SYSTEM.  STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS IN WARM SECTOR OF LOW WILL HELP TRANSPORT MOIST AND MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS NORTHWARD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. MODELS SHOW STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND LIFT ACROSS
PARTS OF IL/MO/IND...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
CAPE VALUES WILL BE TOO WEAK TO SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS.

...CO/UT/WY...
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY ALSO OCCUR TODAY AHEAD OF UPPER
TROUGH AS IT APPROACHES PARTS OF WY/UT/CO.  RAPIDLY COOLING MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND STRONG ASCENT WILL AID THREAT.

..HART.. 02/15/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WERE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 AND ARE NOW AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THIS TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM







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